Explore by topic

Source: Office for National Statistics

Source: Department for Environment,
Food & Rural Affairs

Source: Office for National Statistics

This graph shows food inflation with [% increase]
so it looks like the price is going down, However
even if the [% goes down], the price is still actually
still increasing because there’s still a net percentage
increase
This graph on food productivity
[% Efficiency] has nothing to
do with the price consumers
pay for their food. Or the wages
workers receive from producing
food. It only looks good for the
government and is on how
producers are making food.
The y-axis doesn’t start at [0],
a common trick used in data
visualisation to make a difference
between 2 data points more
extreme than it is.
This graph is pulled directly from the ONS website, stating only 50% of adults are spending on food is not an accurate representation of how everything is more expensive, it is the result of selective questioning, categorisation & surveying.

The first graph only includes
data from March 2023, If you
were to look back from 2012, it
paints a very different picture:
The rate of food inflation has
been rising at unseen levels
since 2021








Download the data

.xlsx

Food inflation continues to ease with dairy prices falling

Prices of food and non-alcoholic beverages is down to 13.6% in August from the recent high of 19.2% in March 2023, which was the highest annual rate seen for over 45 years. according to the latest Consumer Prices Index including owner occupiers’ housing costs (CPIH).

The largest downward contributions came from milk, cheese and eggs, as well as mineral waters, soft drinks and juices.

This is according to our Consumer Prices Index including owner occupiers’ housing costs (CPIH) release.

Prices for cheese and curd fell 3.3% between August and September, the largest downward contribution in the milk, cheese and eggs category.

This has led to the annual inflation rate for milk, cheese and eggs easing to 12.3% in the year to September 2023, down from 15.3% in August.

However, this figure was much higher among certain groups of the population. Read our bulletin on the impact of increased cost of living to find out which groups were most at risk of running out of food.

You can explore how the prices of 450 items in the inflation basket – including the cost of food and eating out - have increased over the past year with our shopping prices comparison tool.

Productivity & Efficiency Trends

Total factor productivity of the UK food chain beyond the farmgate rose by 3.7% between 2020 and 2021, while productivity in the wider economy fell by 0.2%.

Total factor productivity relates the volume of output to the volume of labour, capital and purchases, and so can provide a measure of efficiency.

The TFP of the UK food sector is an indicator of the efficiency and competitiveness of the food industry within the UK. However, there are external factors at play, in particular the onset of the COVID-19 Pandemic.

In 2021 all four of the food sectors had a higher productivity than in 2020. Manufacturing increased by 3.2 per cent, wholesale increased by 1.5 per cent, retail increased by 2.3 per cent and catering increased by 10.7 per cent, the latter demonstrating nearly a full recovery from the conditions faced during the height of the pandemic.

The calculation is based on reliable data on business sales and costs, employment by industry and price indices all collected by the Office for National Statistics.

Source: Total Factor Productivity of the United Kingdom Food Chain, Defra.

Spending

Nearly half (48%) of adults across Great Britain say they have spent more than usual to get what they normally buy when food shopping within the past two weeks.

This is according to those asked between 20 September and 1 October 2023 as part of our latest Public opinions and social trends bulletin.





Source: Office for National Statistics

Source: Office for National Statistics

Source: CEBR & Office for National Statistics

This chart shows a positive correlation
between the price of food to workers
striking, presenting it alongside the
other graphs makes it look at first
glance that workers striking is part
of the reason for inflation
Presenting 2 variables as causation even though its correlation is a common technique used in media.
Presenting the number [£91,000,000] loss next to “The Impact of the Strikes” paints a narrative that at first glance makes it look like the strikes are against our economy and society—painting them as the villains and the data/media as heroes. In reality, this number doesn't accurately represent the whole issue with the strikes - similar to reports on the ongoing Israel/Palestine not talking about the history of the conflict when reporting daily deaths.
This data can go on to be used as evidence as to why laws and legislations should be passed.









Download the data

.xlsx

The Impact of workers striking on the price of food

Between June 2022 and February 2023 there have been increasing numbers of strikes occurring across a range of industries, including many parts of the rail and bus networks, postal workers, civil servants, teaching staff and NHS staff. This article brings together a range of sources to explore the impact of the strikes that have taken place since the summer of 2022.

The average working days lost by workers striking have reached an all-time high of 26.23 days (per 1000 people), from 2.125 July 2020 where it was 2.22.

Rail and tube strikes to cause hit of at least £91m to the UK economy Rail and tube strikes to cause hit of at least £91m to the UK economy

As the hit of strikes increased, the price of food has risen to unseen levels.





Source: Office for National Statistics
& FRED Economic Data

Source: Office for National Statistics
& FRED Economic Data

The y-axis doesn’t start at [0],
a common trick used in data
visualisation to make a difference
between 2 data points more
extreme than it is.
These charts comparing the US and UK are 2 different visual outcomes based on the data. Together, they make it look like the UK is doing way better off than the US, which has been designed to have the viewer think “It can't be that bad here then”. However:
In size charts, you can use diameter instead of area to visualise growth. It exaggerates the difference.










Download the data

.xlsx

Comparison in Food prices (CPI)between the UK and USA

To find the true state of the UK, it is important to compare it to other successful countries. Here we have compared the rise in food prices in the UK to the US (Consumer Price Index).

It shows that the UK is doing better off than the US with prices inflating at a slower rate than the US

How this affects you

Personal inflation calculator
Tell us what you spend your money on to see how this affects your inflation rate.
Impact of winter pressures
Find out about how the cost of living is impacting people during the autumn and winter months. 
Food and energy insecurity
Read our latest article on the characteristics of those who experience food and energy insecurity. 

Contact